Big 12 showdown pits Cowboys against Aggies

NCAA Football Betting Lines

09/21/2011 - College Station, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A pair of elite Big 12 Conference teams will collide in College Station on Saturday, as the eighth-ranked Texas A&M Aggies host the seventh-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys.

"We play a good football team on the road that is very deserving of a top 10 ranking," says Oklahoma State head coach Mike Gundy. "They (Texas A&M) are one of the few teams that I've seen over the last few years that are really solid in all three phases of the game."

Gundy's team enters with a 3-0 record, and none of the games have been close thus far. The most recent romp for the high-scoring Cowboys came over Tulsa on the road by a 59-33 final. Including that game, Oklahoma State is in the midst of five-game span during which it will play in front of the home crowd just once.

Texas A&M is participating in what appears to be its final season as a member of the Big 12 before jumping to the SEC. The Aggies have played just two games thus far, as they have stomped both SMU (46-14) and Idaho (37-7).

"With conference games you know you will be ready to play at all times," said head coach Mike Sherman. "Our players won't be listening to anyone on the outside."

Texas A&M leads the all-time series with Oklahoma State by a 17-9 margin, but the Cowboys have won the last three meetings.

"Kyle Field is obviously a fun place to play and it's just exciting to start Big 12 play," says Oklahoma State quarterback Brandon Weeden in anticipation of this weekend's tilt. "Also the fact that A&M might not be in our conference anymore adds another element to the whole deal. I believe that everybody is excited for the game and looking forward to the opportunity."

Weeden is at the helm of a truly elite offense that is averaging 52.3 ppg and 601.0 total ypg. The record-setting quarterback has already thrown six interceptions this season, but he has tossed eight touchdowns while completing 72.5 percent of his passes for 1,154 yards. The nation's top receiver, Justin Blackmon, plays for the Cowboys, and he has caught 27 passes for 329 yards and three scores despite constant double and triple teams. Joseph Randle has excelled as the club's tailback, rushing for 378 yards and seven touchdowns already.

While it is hard to find fault with the Oklahoma State offense, the defense can certainly stand some improvement. The Cowboys are surrendering 27.0 ppg and 413.7 total ypg, and they have allowed five rushing touchdowns to date. On a positive note, however, Gundy's club does have nine sacks and nine takeaways to its credit.

Against Tulsa last week, Oklahoma State posted 543 yards but did allow 482 total yards. The run defense was poor, yielding 365 yards to the Golden Hurricane at a clip of 6.2 yards per carry. Fortunately, the Cowboys generated six takeaways, including four interceptions, while Weeden and company scored seven offensive touchdowns.

Texas A&M tailback Cyrus Gray is one of the best players at his position in the Big 12 Conference. Gray has rushed for 100 or more yards in nine consecutive games dating back to last season, proof of his consistently high level of production. He reached the century mark on his final carry against Idaho.

"It sounds good, but at the end of the day it's preseason for me," said Gray of his 100-yard effort against Idaho. "Conference starts Saturday. I have to do the same things when conference starts."

The Aggies finished with 517 total yards against Idaho, and standout quarterback Ryan Tannehill threw for 337 yards and a pair of scores. Meanwhile, the A&M defense was tremendous, holding the overmatched Vandals to 187 yards on 58 offensive plays. The Aggies didn't notch a single takeaway, but the fact that they yielded only 56 rushing yards on 29 attempts and permitted just 2-of-14 third-down conversion attempts to be successful was clearly impressive.

Through eight quarters of football, A&M is generating 41.5 ppg and 487.5 total ypg, far superior to the 10.5 ppg and 267.0 total ypg that the club is yielding. The Aggies have gotten 233 yards and four touchdowns from Gray, while Tannehill has completed 72.3 percent of his passes for 583 yards with four touchdowns and one interception. Ryan Swope and Jeff Fuller are strong options at receiver, while Tony Jerod-Eddie spearheads the defensive effort with three sacks.

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MySportsbook.com : Fortune Favors Favorites in March Madness betting?

Just like Day 1 of the “Sweet 16”, Friday’s games are chock full of some of the nation’s elite.  Unlike Thursday’s games, there is a little bit more of a “Cinderella” feel as #7 seed UNLV and #6 seed Vanderbilt will attempt to move on to the Elite Eight.  With powerhouses Florida, UNC and Georgetown looking to continue their momentum against lesser known teams, it isn’t surprising that once again the “betting public” is backing most of the favorites.  As the early coin rolls in, 56% of Sportsbook.com bettors prefer Georgetown (-7.5) as they take on Vanderbilt; 84% of the early money is backing Oregon (-3) as they square off against UNLV; and a slight majority (52%) of the early cash is on Florida (-10.5) against Butler as the Gators continue their quest for another National Title. The only favorite the public don’t seem confident in is UNC, as 59% of the cash is backing the underdog Trojans (+8).

Midwest

#1 Florida vs. #5 Butler

The defending National Champs have been on a mission since last April.  Joakim Noah and Al Horford turned down millions of dollars for one reason, to REPEAT.  After a late season hiccup which saw them lose three out of four, the Gators have won six straight by an average of 20.3 points. More importantly, they covered in five of those six games.  Behind their stymie defense that yields only 56.9 PPG, Butler has been a very pleasant surprise this season.  As their 20-11 ATS record will indicate, “surprise teams” like Butler are often good bets for gamblers.  Playing in an average conference, Butler wasn’t and underdog too often but when they were, they covered (6-0 ATS).  Butler’s defense will have its hands full against a Gators offense which averages 80.1 PPG on an amazing 52.9% shooting from the field.  With Florida’s tournament experience over the last few years, it isn’t surprising that they are 5-1 ATS this season, 20-4 ATS over the last three seasons and 38-20 since 1997 in tournament action.

#3 Oregon vs. #7 UNLV

As a #7 seed, UNLV is the closest thing to a “Cinderella” we have this year.  If you bet on UNLV this season with any regularity, you most likely cashed in. Behind their guard oriented attack, the Rebels are an impressive 20-11 ATS this season.  As an underdog they covered in 8 out of their ten games which isn’t surprising since they are 52-30 ATS as a ‘dog since 1997. The Rebels have been a consistent cover during the month of March as well.  This March they are 6-0 ATS, 11-3 ATS over the last three seasons and 24-11 since 1997. Their impressive ATS trends don’t end there; versus teams with a winning record they are 15-6 ATS this season and 41-21 over the last three seasons.  Although Oregon hasn’t been as generous to gamblers as UNLV this season, they have been covering consistently as of late.  There is no question that they are playing their best ball of the season having won their last 8 straight up (SU) by an average of 14.5 points. Not surprising they covered in 7 of those games.  It is interesting to note how similar these teams are in regards to scoring and scoring defense. UNLV averages 75 PPG while giving up 66.5 PPG and Oregon scores 75.8 PPG while yielding 65.5 PPG.

East

#6 Vanderbilt vs. #2 Georgetown

“Hoya Paranoia” is officially back! After a decent start, Georgetown has rolled through the second half of the season.  Over their last 18 games, they are 17-1 SU.  They have definitely improved ATS as the season has progressed as well. After opening the season 1-4-1 ATS, the Hoyas have covered 78.3% of their games.  With their great interior play of Jeff Green and Roy Hibbert, the Hoyas as a team shoot 50.5% from the field.  Like the Georgetown teams from years ago, they also excel on defense.  Hoya opponents averaged only 56.8 PPG on 38.2% shooting from the field and an extremely low 30.4% from beyond the arc.  The last stat could be of some concern to Vanderbilt considering they shoot 37.7% from long-range.  Ranking second to last in the SEC in rebounding margin, Vanderbilt will have its work cut out for them against the Hoya trees. As far as covering is concerned, Vanderbilt has been almost a “sure thing” (7-1 ATS) versus good defensive teams that allow less than 64 PPG.

#1 UNC vs. # 5 USC

The Tar Heels are as talented and as deep as any team in the country.  Going ten deep and chock full of HS All-Americans, UNC averages 86.1 PPG and scored 100+ seven times.  Led by All-American forward, Tyler Hansbrough (18.6 PPG 7.9 RPG) UNC has a very balanced attack which can kill you on the inside as well as on the perimeter.  UNC only real concern is their youth as eight of their rotation players are either sophomores or freshmen.  UNC was a reliable cover this season going 20-13 ATS.  An intriguing covering trend for the Tar Heels in recent years has been how they fared after non-conference games.  This season they are 11-3 ATS after non-conference games and over the last three seasons they are 31-13 ATS.  USC is also a pretty deep team which is loaded with swingman types.  An match-up to keep an eye on will be freshman forward Taj Gibson (12.1 PPG, 8.6 RPG) as he squares off against the AA Hansbrough.  USC has been a covering machine this season achieving a 21-10 record ATS.  They have thrived in the underdog role, having covered 10 out of 12.  When playing a team with a winning record, the Trojans are an incredible 20-6 ATS. Keep in mind, USC dedicated their season to former star to Ryan Francis who passed away before the season so as they get closer to the ultimate goal, emotion could definitely be on their side.

With Friday -105 juice on Basketball betting, MySportsbook.com is the place to bet on all of the “March Madness” action.  Don’t forget to monitor who the public is backing at this sportsbook “Betting Trends”.  By doing so, you have the best chance of predicting a possible line change, thus getting the best value for your wager.

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