Rockies visit Padres for clash of slumping contenders

Baseball Betting Lines

09/03/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - If the Colorado Rockies are going to return to the postseason, they need to turn it around soon. This weekend would be a good start, as they begin a three-game series against the National League West- leading San Diego Padres at Petco Park.

Colorado enters the weekend set 7 1/2-games back of the Padres. However, the Rockies could be catching San Diego at the right moment, as the Padres have dropped a season-high seven in a row.

"Things aren't going our way," San Diego manager Bud Black said. "We will spin out of it."

Colorado, which is 6 1/2 back of Philadelphia in the Wild Card race, has also won eight of its 12 meetings with the Padres in 2010, including wins in four of the six matchups in San Diego. That trend could continue this evening, as the Rockies will be facing a pitcher making his major league debut in left- hander Cory Luebke.

Luebke, the 63rd overall selection of the 2007 draft, has dominated the minors while splitting the season between Double-A San Antonio and Triple-A Portland, posting a 10-1 record with a 2.68 ERA in 19 outings (17 starts) before his contract was selected by the Padres when rosters were expanded on Wednesday.

"I'm just going to take it a start at a time," Luebke said. "[Black] let me know I was pitching Friday, so I'll get myself ready on Friday and whatever this team needs me to do."

San Diego had its lead over San Francisco trimmed to three games with a disappointing 5-2 loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks on Wednesday.

The usually reliable San Diego bullpen gave up four runs after starter Mat Latos gave up a run and four hits in six full frames and matched a career-high with 10 strikeouts. Latos, 22, has now yielded two runs or less in 14 straight outings, a feat last accomplished by Greg Maddux 16 years ago.

"Our bullpen, I believe, is the best in the National League," Black said. "Let's leave it at that."

Colorado, meanwhile, watched Philadelphia overcome a four-run deficit by crossing the plate nine times in the seventh inning on Thursday. The Rockies made things interesting, scoring four more runs after that, but came up short in a 12-11 loss.

Carlos Gonzalez continued his hot hitting by belting his 31st home run amid a 3-for-5 night. Chris Iannetta and Dexter Fowler slugged second-inning home runs and knocked in three runs apiece for Colorado, which has lost three straight after winning seven of eight.

A combination of Joe Beimel, Reynolds and Manny Delcarmen (0-1), who was making his Rockies debut, were responsible for the seventh-inning meltdown.

Taking the ball for the Rockies this evening will be Aaron Cook, who is expected to be activated from the disabled list prior to tonight's start. Cook has not pitched since spraining his right toe in a loss to the Giants back on August 3.

Cook has lost his last three starts, though, surrendering 15 runs in just 9 2/3 innings of those outings. He is 4-8 with a 5.34 ERA on the season.

"If Aaron Cook is really good, then obviously there's the possibility of keeping Cookie in the rotation," said Rockies manager Jim Tracy. "But I wanna see the guy pitch. The worst thing in the world for you is trying to run somebody down in the Wild Card and/or division and getting pitched out of a game in the second or third inning. That's really not an option if that can happen on any type of consistent basis."

Cook has been terrific in his career against the Padres, having gone 13-4 with a 2.86 ERA in 24 games (22 starts). He is also an impressive 6-1 in 10 starts at Petco.

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Eastern Conference Playoff Betting Trends

We all know by now that the “public” loves to put their money on the FAVORITES and the OVERS.  Just by taking a quick glance at Sportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends” it appears as is this tendency will continue as far as the Eastern Conference games are concerned.  For the inaugural games of the first round, 69% of the early money is on Toronto -4.5; 59% of bettors prefer Chicago -4.5; 84% are backing Detroit -9; and 56% think Cleveland -11.5 is the way to go.  As far as TOTALS are concerned, the only UNDER the “public” is backing is the Cleveland/ Washington game in which 83% are pounding the UNDER (190).  Remember, there is no better way to predict a possible line change than by monitoring MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”.   By determining who the “public” is backing, you can get the most ideal line for your bet.  For example, if you are siding with the public you better place your bet before the line moves in the wrong direction.  On the other side of the coin, if you prefer the team that the “public” is betting against; you might be able to get and extra ½ or even more by placing your bet a bit later.  Under the “Betting Trends” section, Sportsbook.com also provides plenty of statistical data and trends in order for the bettor to make the most informed pick.  Below are some extremely important trends for the first round opponents of the Eastern Conference match-ups, more can be found at MySportsbook.com

New Jersey Nets vs. Toronto Raptors

Toronto was the most reliable covering team this season with a 48-33-1 ATS record but covered the OVER only 41.5% of the time.
The last 20 times these teams have played, the TOTAL has gone UNDER 16 times.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Toronto is 33-19 ATS including 17-9 at home.
 New Jersey has covered four games in a row while Toronto has failed to cover their last four games.
When playing a team with a winning record during the second half of the season, New Jersey was just 5-13 ATS this season.
After scoring 105 points or more, Toronto has covered the OVER only 28% of the time this season. 
 
Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls

Miami has failed to cover their last 7 games whereas Chicago has covered 6 out of their last 8 games.
Miami has covered the UNDER in four of their last five games whereas Chicago has covered the UNDER in five out of their last six.
When playing on Saturdays, Miami covered 80% of their games this season.
Away from home, Chicago is just 16-25 ATS this season.
At home, Miami covered the UNDER about 66% of the time whereas Chicago covered the UNDER about 61% of the time.
The last 13 times these teams have played each other, Chicago has covered 9 times.
In Miami’s last 11 road games, the UNDER covered 9 times. 
 
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons

Detroit has covered 5 out of their last 6 games.
Away from home, Detroit is 28-13 ATS but just 14-26-1 ATS at home.
At home, Orlando covered the UNDER 64% of the time while Detroit covered the UNDER in 63% of their away games.
The last five times these teams have played in Detroit, the OVER covered each time.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Detroit is 8-17-1 ATS at home but 17-9 ATS away.
Detroit covered the spread 5 out of the last 6 times they played Orlando.
After a Division game, Orlando covered the UNDER 87% of the time this season. 
 
Washington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers

In a home game where the TOTAL is between 190 and 194.5 points, Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season.
Washington has covered the UNDER in their last 6 games and in 8 of their last 9 games.
The last 6 times these teams have played each other, the UNDER covered each time.
When playing on 3 or more days of rest, Washington is just 18-37 ATS since 1996.
Since 1996, Washington is 28-16 ATS versus Cleveland including 11-5 over the last 3 seasons.
In their last 7 road games, Washington is 6-1 ATS.
Versus Eastern Conference teams at home, Washington is just 6-18-2 ATS. 
 
For even more betting trends for not just the NBA but for all of the major sports, log on to Sportsbook.com and click on “Trends”.  With only two months left in the NBA betting season it is important to be as well informed as possible in order to maximize your profit.  Also for all of you poker players, check out MySportsbook.com’s “WSOP Low Bid Auction”. You could be on your way to Vegas to play against the world’s best poker players for under a buck.

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